You have not viewed any products recently.


Susan Rice and the ISIS “Strategy”

View all posts from this blog

By:Srdja Trifkovic | October 15, 2014

Talking to NBC’s “Meet the Press” last Sunday, National Security Advisor Susan Rice said the United States would not reevaluate the strategy to “degrade and destroy” the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIS or ISIL).

“Strategy’s very clear,” she went on. “We’ll do what we can from the air. We will support the Iraqi security forces, the Kurds, and ultimately over time, the moderate opposition in Syria to be able to control territory and take the fight to ISIL. We’ll do our part from the air and in many other respects in terms of building up the capacity of the Iraqis and the Syrian opposition, the moderates.”

As for the specific elements of this “strategy,” I’ve dealt with them in some detail a month ago and en general last week. Let us summarize: The Iraqi security forces are in no better shape now than they were last June, when they spectacularly disintegrated in Mosul and Tikrit, and they will not be capable of conducting serious anti-IS operations in the foreseeable future. If a decade of American training, arming and equipping them, at an exorbitant cost to U.S. taxpayers, has not done the trick so far, there is absolutely no reason to believe that they will undergo a spectacular transformation in the years to come – whatever the name of the present or future Iraqi prime minister. The Kurds are on the verge of losing Kobani, and they are embittered over Turkey’s inaction and insufficient U.S. support. Their only goal, reasonably enough, is to hold on to what they control. They will never conduct complex anti-IS operations outside their ethnic areas, even if they were theoretically able to do so. The “Syrian moderates” do not exist. Advanced weapons systems delivered to them so far – notably guided anti-tank missiles – have been passed to the IS in pristine condition. That will not change.

The alarming aspect of Ms. Rice’s performance is her evident inability to distinguish between a campaign’s objective (“degrade and destroy”) and the strategy developed to attain those objectives. The definition approved by the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff is “the art and science of employing the armed forces of a nation to secure the objectives of a national policy by the application of force, or the threat of force.” Since Ms. Rice, President Obama and everyone else in his team are adamant that there will be “no U.S. boots on the ground,” this definition is applicable in a very limited sense. American air power alone is to be deployed, we are told, with someone else doing the fighting on the ground. That someone does not exist; therefore there is no strategy. Simple, and tragic in view of the potential for mission creep. Sen. John McCain et al will demand, a year from now, those very boots “to get the job done.” Hillary Clinton, or her Republican opponent, will act accordingly in 2017.

The unpleasant truth is this: Even if Obama, Rice & Co. were successful in their campaign to “degrade and destroy” the IS after ten, twenty or thirty years (Panetta) – I’d say the odds are 1000:1 – they would face another IS-like “existential threat to U.S. interests” the next day, or week, or month, somewhere else in the region. Continuing on this path is madness, literally: expectation of different outcomes from already tested and failed policies. Disengagement is the only sane strategy. The Muslim world is in crisis. Let the Muslims deal with that crisis on their own. America can do no good in that world-historical drama, to them or to herself.



Nicholas MOSES
Paris (FR)
10/15/2014 10:00 PM

  The U.S. has a role to play in the crisis, but it is not "bringing democracy" to the region, nor uplifting a contemporary Western standard of legal (i.e., making the choice to kill one's unborn child a woman's constitutional right) or cultural (c.f. Thomas Neuwirth) paradigm. Rather, we should confine our actions to swift and painful retaliation for the U.S. citizens they have killed, as well as to severe sanctions on anyone who contributes - militarily or financially - to their butchery or robbery of religious minorities. I'm not holding my breath.

Bryan Fox
10/16/2014 02:41 PM

  Susan Rice personifies the arrogant incompetence of the elevated African regime.

10/16/2014 04:11 PM

  It seems that Washington is more intent on removing Assad than fighting ISIS/IS/ISIL. Could this be because nation-states in the region are a greater threat to Israel's interest than jihadist groups which can be bombed indeterminately without legal justification or moral condemnation? This seems to be the strategy with respect to Iraq and Libya, and where the U.S. is heading with Syria and possibly Iran.

10/16/2014 05:59 PM

  "Could this be because nation-states in the region are a greater threat to Israel's interest..." Correct me if Im wrong, but I thought the greatest threat to Israel was a Spy vs Spy cartoon bomb.

Letters From Canada
10/17/2014 03:14 AM

  Why even relatively normal people in US think that US must maddle everywhere and stick its fingers anywhere "The U.S. has a role to play in the crisis". Because of US the world today is less happy then 40 years ago, in spite of all Nobel Peace Prices. After 2008 recession, even people of US are more misserable than they were during senenties. As Dr. Trifkovic stated, disengage and let others solve their problems.


You have not viewed any products recently.


To comment on this article, please find it on the Chronicles Facebook page.