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above: Russian soldiers venerating the miraculous icon of the Holy Mother of God of Smolensk on the eve of the battle of Borodino, in Sergei Bondarchuk’s 1966 film adaptation of Tolstoy’s War and Peace

The American Interest

Avoiding War With Russia

The Biden regime’s frantic moves in recent weeks to escalate tensions with Russia—at a time of China’s continued economic and military rise—are irrational, inexplicable by any standard method of foreign policy analysis, and perilous to this country’s security interests.

Mr. Biden’s decision less than two weeks after his inauguration to move B-1 bombers to Norway “to deter Russian aggression” is a stunningly provocative move. It is almost equivalent to Nikita Khrushchev’s bid for strategic nuclear supremacy in the 1962 Cuban missile crisis. Treating allegedly imminent Russian “aggression” against some NATO member countries as formal justification for that decision was imprudent—or, more likely, deliberately insulting.

Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s statements last December that the U.S. would deliver offensive arms to Ukraine, support regime-change coups in the post-Soviet space, and seek NATO’s further eastward expansion, had no rational explanation, except for a visceral hatred of Russia among the new regime’s foreign policy luminaries. It is a sentiment unamenable to rational geostrategic arguments and wholly independent of Moscow’s actual behavior.

Then came Joseph Biden’s aggressive, evidence-free list of accusations regarding Russia’s alleged meddling in U.S. elections, which he read to President Vladimir Putin in the course of their first telephone call on Jan. 26. It was unprecedented in rudeness and arrogance, at least in relations between two major powers, belying Biden’s declaration at the Department of State one week later that “diplomacy is back.”

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above: a B-1B Lancer takes off on a routine mission from Ellsworth Air Force Base, South Dakota. (U.S. Air Force photo by Senior Airman Michael B. Keller)

To his credit, President Donald Trump did try to develop a meaningful détente with Moscow. It was based on his instinctive yet accurate perception that there are no true geopolitical differences between the two major nuclear powers, the United States and the Russian Federation. In reality, Trump is correct: there are none. Whatever is conjured as such is an invention from within the Beltway.

Trump was not able to bring his plan to fruition, however, as we have seen after the Permanent State’s hysterical reaction to his summit with Putin in Helsinki in July 2018. At least Trump was able to prevent an escalation of enmity between the U.S. and Russia, enabling him to secure China’s surprisingly swift acquiescence to his 2019 trade deal. Thanks to Trump’s instinct-driven diplomacy, Russia remained more or less aloof to both the trade quarrel between Washington and Beijing, and the parallel dispute over China’s rights in the South China Sea.

Such prudence is no longer present. It is a matter of regret and a cause for alarm. One of the principal lessons of a great power’s successful grand strategy is not to create too many powerful enemies at the same time. There are many tragic examples from antiquity, but five episodes of the modern era are particularly relevant.

In less than two decades, Philip II— King of Spain, Portugal, Naples, and Sicily, jure uxoris (ruler through his wife’s titles) King of England and Ireland, Duke of Milan, Lord of the Provinces of the Netherlands, etc.—sought to stop the Turks in the Mediterranean, help Catholics against Huguenots in France, quell rebellion in the Low Countries, and invade the British Isles. However, it turned out that God was not a Spaniard. Philip’s audacious overreach set the most powerful state in the world on the road to bankruptcy and permanent ruin, never to rise again.

Less than a century later, Louis XIV tried in three major wars to establish continental hegemony and thus terminate the balance of power system established by the Peace of Westphalia in 1648. He died a broken man after losing the fiercest of them, the War of the Spanish Succession. He left France bankrupted and lastingly weakened, paving the way for the horror of the Revolution.

Napoleon’s Russian obsession, while the nagging British ulcer still remained active in Iberia, ultimately cost him his empire, his reputation, and what little remained of his life. His hubristic call in June 1812 to march on “that Asiatic capital,” Moscow, ensured that—barely two years later—40,000 Cossacks would camp in the Bois de Boulogne.

“The secret of politics,” Otto von Bismarck quipped shortly before his dismissal by Kaiser Wilhelm II in 1890, was “to make a good treaty with Russia.” His Reinsurance Treaty of 1887 was just that, ensuring that Germany would not have to face the nightmare of a two-front war for many years to come. Wilhelm II, obtuse and neurotic, let that key treaty expire after he fired Bismarck. That was the beginning of Germany’s strategic encirclement, which contributed to its defeat in 1918. Russia, autocratic and Christian, instead of remaining an ally of the Kaiserreich, with which it had shared many commonalities, was forced to make an alliance with France, by then Masonic, republican, and viscerally anticlerical. The rest—the disastrous treaty of Versailles, and the sequel of 1939-1945 included—is history.

In the interwar era, there were eminently reputable and patriotic voices in Germany calling for an understanding with Russia, whether she be Red or White. The most prominent was General Karl Haushofer, the grand man of Weimar’s school of geopolitics. After 1933 he was marginalized by the Nazis, whose bizarre obsession with the racial denigration of Russians and other Slavs as Üntermenschen was coupled with their visions of an Eastern Lebensraum which was utterly unattainable by available resources. The mix ensured Germany’s dramatic, Wagnerian downfall in 1945.

The United States, if it were a normal country—which it is not at this time, sadly—would treat Russia as a natural ally in the grand civilizational struggle with the non-European behemoths that is coming in the near future, perhaps three to four decades from today, if not sooner. Many thinking Americans realize that Russia is their natural ally in the struggle to preserve the vestiges of faith, identity and rootedness, and against the collective death wish and self-hatred purveyed by the regime that now rules over them.

It is not just “in the American interest,” it is in the interest of America’s very survival that the morbid Russophobia of Biden’s foreign policy team be prevented from leading this nation into a catastrophic showdown with Moscow. That scenario, suddenly viable for the first time since the coldest of the Cold War, would mark the final end of the European civilization that the luminaries of the new Beltway regime hate with a passion.                         

Srdja Trifkovic

Srdja Trifkovic

Dr. Srdja Trifkovic, foreign affairs editor of Chronicles, is the author of The Sword of the Prophet and Defeating Jihad.

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I suspect the globalists hate Putin for exactly the same reasons they hate Trump. Both care about their Nations and the “forgotten” citizens of those Nations, and hold in contempt the billionaire portfolio elites trying hard to resurrect Company Town Politics, where The Boss rules, his underlings execute, and the people...don’t really matter. Whether you call it “Dictatorship of the Proles”, “instituting Social Justice for races, genders, etc...” it is ALL just bs to get to the REAL thing; Bossism (meet the new Boss. Same as the old Boss). We should tell Putin that it is in OUR interest that Russia remains RUSSIAN, and we’ll not countenance China coveting that empty Siberia just a walk away, and that the Three Houses of Christendom (Protestant, Catholic, Orthodox), must work together to guard their vast Southern Flank from Gibraltar to Vladivostok. The Sister Christian Republics of the Western Hemisphere can help in this, but we must really focus on improve the general welfare of the North American Continent, down to the canal, and into the Caribbean, so caravans are no longer necessary to achieving The Good Life for these good Christian inhabitants.
 
 

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Draco
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Good Article. We do need excellent relations with Russia because we both are Christian nations, and Christianity is under siege, and we need to resist the onslaught.
 
 

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n-borelli
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Biden's actions on Russia are not "irrational, inexplicable ", he just implements orders.
 
 

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Gjackson
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Thank you for the article. It is always interesting to read well balanced articles. Also, as the current comments suggest, there is a larger need for Christian countries to come together today than ever before. However, whenever I think about these issues, I always go to Toyoda's process, asking the five whys. Why are the Biden administration/liberals/democrats pushing this harsh negative agenda towards Russia? Why are social media companies taking sides, potentially harming their own businesses? There are many more, but it is always difficult to put together the correct questions, when the issues are so profound and global - affecting all of our species, not just a few countries elite. It would be good if someone could do this research and create a series of good questions, or why's, that are designed to dig deeper with each one, so we can better understand what lies beneath each layer of the onion, to ultimately have a better understanding of our true enemy and their motivation.
 
 

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Fada
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It's quite clear that some elements in the US want war with Russia and Iran and to some extent China. it is historical that no nation has been able to defeat or conquer Russia. I also strongly believe that Russia is very much aware of the intentions of the US , and is therefore well prepared to engage and destroy the US once and for all as they often claim .I think the US is trying to bite more than it can chew. Any open war with Russia is not winnable irrespective of the resources and strength of the US. Europe will not be willing to join US in such an adventure looking at how powerful Russia is,as well as the damages Europe sustained in WW 2. The US should learn from history. Any empire that behaved like it's doing now collapsed never to resurrect again. The biggest mistake Hitler made was his decision to invade Russia.We all know what happened.this is food for thought
 
 

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