Srdja Trifkovic

Latest by Srdja Trifkovic in Chronicles

  • The Knack of the Non-Deal
    Column
    March 1, 2020

    The Knack of the Non-Deal

    An Arab-Israeli peace agreement is like a moderate Syrian rebel or rational leftist: It is possible to visualize, but producing one is daunting. Every attempt has failed. President Donald Trump’s “Peace to Prosperity” plan will be no exception. Hardly the “deal of the century,” it proposes the establishment of a disconnected, truncated Palestinian state with limited sovereignty, covering Gaza and just three-quarters of the West Bank, surrounded on all sides by Israel. All of Jerusalem would be the undivided Israeli capital. In addition, Israel would annex the strategic Jordan Valley and an archipelago of settlements inside the Palestinian remnant.

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  • COVID-19 in the Light of History
    Blog
    March 26, 2020

    COVID-19 in the Light of History

    The pandemic’s future course and cost cannot be predicted. It does appear certain, however, that the world is experiencing changes which are likely irreversible. The contours of its geopolitical impact are becoming apparent in the rapidly changing patterns of mental mapping, political decision-making, and economic flows in the three panregions that matter in today’s world, Asia-Pacific, Europe, and North America.

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  • The Nation-State Is Back
    Blog
    March 28, 2020

    The Nation-State Is Back

    Neoliberal globalization in its post-Cold War form has been dealt a mortal blow by COVID-19, which is a good thing. The architecture of global economic and political governance developed over the past three decades is collapsing before our eyes.

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  • Afghan Disinformation
    Column
    February 30, 2020

    Afghan Disinformation

    During the Second World War the German High Command issued regular bulletins about the situation on various fronts. They had a triumphalist tone in 1940, when France fell, and in 1941, when it looked like the Red Army would collapse, but the core information remained reliable throughout the war. These Wehr machtberichten adopted a sober tone after Stalingrad, and deceptive euphemisms were used (e.g. “ordered withdrawal to previously prepared positions”); but even after Normandy they did not lie about the shifting front lines.

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  • Purging the Bureaucrats
    Column
    January 1, 2020

    Purging the Bureaucrats

    In his 1968 essay “Bureaucracy and Policy Making,” Dr. Henry Kissinger argued that there was no rationality or consistency in American foreign policymaking. “[A]s the bureaucracy becomes large and complex,” he wrote, “more time is devoted to running its internal management than in divining the purpose which it is supposed to serve.” There is only so much that even the President can do against the wishes of the bureaucracy, Kissinger warned. Unless he can get the willing support of his subordinates, simply giving an order does not get very far.

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