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	<title>Chronicles: A Magazine of American Culture &#187; Srdja Trifkovic</title>
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		<title>Jihadophilia</title>
		<link>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/05/23/9072/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/05/23/9072/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 May 2013 17:13:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Srdja Trifkovic</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News & Views]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Srdja Trifkovic]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[J. is characterized by a breakdown of the ability to name Muslims as perpetrators of the acts of Islamic terrorism, by the tendency to systematically ignore Islam as a factor in terrorist attacks or to deny its relevance in such attacks, and by an acute deficit of the capacity or will to provide appropriate institutional or emotional responses to such attacks.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><b>Jihadophilia</b> (/dʒɪˈhɑːdoˈfɪljə/) is a <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mental_disorder">mental disorder</a> affecting members of the Western (West European, North American and Anglo-Antipodean) elite class, mostly politicians, journalists, academics and civil servants. <b>J.</b> is characterized by a breakdown of the ability to name Muslims as perpetrators of the acts of Islamic terrorism, by the tendency to systematically ignore Islam as a factor in terrorist attacks or to deny its relevance in such attacks, and by an acute deficit of the capacity or will to provide appropriate institutional or <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emotion">emotional</a> responses to such attacks.</p>
<p>Common symptoms of <b>J.</b> include <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auditory_hallucination">hallucinations</a>, usually in the form of an imaginary “peaceful and tolerant Islam,” <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paranoia">paranoid</a> or bizarre <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delusion">delusions</a>, usually in the form of “right-wing terrorists, white supremacists and Christian extremists,” and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thought_disorder">disorganized speech and thinking</a>, usually in the form of inappropriate and bizarre attempts to characterize acts of Islamic terrorism as  generic terrorist acts unmotivated by Jihad, or else not “terrorist” at all.</p>
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<p>A recent example includes reactions in Britain to the <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/world/2013/05/23/man-killed-in-reported-machete-attack-in-london">gruesome murder</a> in London of a soldier by machete-wielding Muslims shouting <i>Allahu Akbar</i> on May 22. “We swear by almighty Allah we will never stop fighting you,” one of the attackers declared immediately after the attack in a video clip shown on the <a href="http://www.itv.com/news/update/2013-05-22/exclusive-video-man-with-bloodied-hands-speaks-at-woolwich-scene/">ITV website</a>. “The only reason we have done this is because Muslims are dying every day. This British soldier is an eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth.”</p>
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<p>Prime Minister David Cameron subsequently admitted there were “indications” it was an act of terrorism, without indicating by whom. Sir Bernard Hogan-Howe, Metropolitan Police Commissioner, described the murder as “shocking and horrific,” without qualifying it. Counter-terrorism expert and former MI5 and MI6 official Richard Barrett allowed the possibility of some unnamed terrorist connection: “The idea that this may be terrorism-inspired by <b>some sort of religious extremist belief</b> [emphasis added] is quite plausible.” London Mayor <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/news/boris-johnson">Boris Johnson</a> said that “the fault lies wholly and exclusively in the warped and deluded mindset of the people who did it.” He then urged London’s citizens to “go about their lives in the normal way.”</p>
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<p>Only two days earlier, British Home Secretary <a href="http://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/terror-law-boss-attacks-home-secretary-theresa-may-for-hiding-suspects-8623812.html">Theresa May was criticized</a> for refusing to reveal how many “terror suspects” (of unstated religious affiliation) are living in London under special rules to prevent them from carrying out attacks. David Anderson QC, the Independent Reviewer of Terrorism Legislation, had repeatedly called for the Government to publish the location, by region, of people subjected to Terrorism Prevention and Investigation Measures, but ministers are refusing to agree to the proposal, arguing that it might risk “compromising” their anonymity. The Home Office argued that the package of restrictions struck the “right balance” between protecting the public and the rights of the terror suspects. In view of the fact, reported by the BBC, that one of the machete attackers was arrested last year on his way to join al-Shabaab Islamic terrorist group in Somalia, striking the “right balance” comes at a cost, mostly of non-Muslim lives.</p>
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<p>In the United States <b>J.</b> was manifested in President Obama’s initial reaction to the Boston bombings. Loath to imply a Muslim connection, he initially refused to use the word “terrorism.” Over the past four years he has banned the use of the words “Muslim” or “Islam” in the official American discourse on terrorism. By mandating the disconnect, he and his officials are displaying a mature form of the syndrome, as manifested in the Department of Defense’s classification of Maj. Hasan’ s Ft. Hood murders as “workplace violence.”</p>
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<p>Institutional manifestations of <b>Jihadophilia</b> are evident in the Department of Homeland Security’s current anti-terrorism training guidelines, which pressure law enforcement officers to ignore Islamic faith of potential suspects when investigating terror crimes. Under the federal guidelines, agents are admonished to discount the possibility that a Muslim’s constitutionally protected disdain for the United States might possibly lead to violence. As a result, the Boston attack was carried out by a jihadist who had been investigated by the FBI, who was confirmed in 2011 to be a self-avowed Islamist—yet before the bombing, the FBI closed its file because it found this did not constitute “derogatory information” on Tamerlan Tsarnaev. Even if FBI operatives knew of Tsarnaev’s subsequent indoctrination journey to the Caucasus—and they were alerted by their Russian colleagues—they would not have restarted their 2011 investigation because of <b>J.</b></p>
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<p><b></b><b> </b><b>Jihadophilia</b> is accompanied by significant social or occupational dysfunction, manifested in the inability or unwillingness of politicians to devise coherent anti-terrorist strategies or immigration policies, in the readiness of civil servants (including the military, national security and intelligence organizations) to comply with the delusional orders or guidelines for action, and the acceptance of the delusional paradigm by the media and the academe as reality. The onset of <b>J.</b> symptoms typically occurs upon the patient’s initiation into the ranks of the Western elite class, usually in young adulthood, with a global lifetime <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prevalence">prevalence</a> of about 99 percent for the members of the said class, regardless of the patient’s party-political affiliation or self-reported ideological preferences. Such high percentage is due to the fact that any manifestation of the absence of <b>J.</b> in a member of the Western elite class invariably leads to the accusations of “Islamophobia” and “racism” and the exclusion of the healthy person from the ranks of that class.</p>
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<p>Numerous examples of <b>J.</b>-initiated exclusion include Lt. Col. Matthew Dooley, a highly respected and decorated officer, who was fired in the wake of Muslim groups complaining about the approved course he taught on radical Islam at National Defense University. After 57 Islamic organizations complained to Gen. Martin Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, he displayed aggravated symptoms of <b>J.</b> when, in addition to ordering Dooley to be fired, he also ordered a negative Officer Evaluation Report against Dooley—the first such after 20 glowing annual reviews following his graduation from West Point. Earlier this year Dooley was punished again: Gen. Lloyd J. Austin III, who is now head of U.S. Central Command, vetoed Dolley’s move to a battalion command position. His actions, for which no reason was given but <b>J.</b> is strongly indicated, effectively spell the end of Dooley’s career. According to Richard Thompson, president of the Thomas More Law Center who is representing Dooley, “The way they’re treating him now is not only a total miscarriage of justice on a personal level, but it also is really removing an effective combat leader from the Army, and it ultimately affects the national security of the United States.” Thomson adds that Army leaders willingly threw Dooley “under the bus for their own advancement or to appease the Muslims, which ultimately could lead to the destruction of the United States internally. If we cannot accurately describe who the enemy is, how can we win a war?” (Thompson’s question clearly indicated the absence of <b>J.</b> which may make his own long-term position at the TMLC uncertain.)</p>
<p>More recently, Gregory Hicks, the Deputy Mission Chief in Tripoli, was penalized by J. sufferers for refusing to go along with the Administration’s delusional claim that the jihadist attack in Benghazi last September 11 was the result of a spontaneous demonstration triggered off by an "anti-Islamic" amateur video. Within weeks, he received a "blistering critique" of his management from his J.-affected superiors at the Department of State.</p>
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<p><b>Jihadophilia</b> diagnosis is based on observed behavior and on the reported experiences of the victims of J.-affected patients’ acts. The clinical anamnesis of <b>J.</b> usually includes terminal de-Christianization, <a href="http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?pid=S0004-282X2001000500001&amp;script=sci_arttext&amp;tlng=es">frontopolar and anterior temporal cortex degeneracy</a>, and dependence on the mainstream media and mass culture in forming the Weltanschauung, but early-age political and social indoctrination appear to be important contributory factors. In particular, exposure to university education—especially at one of the leading institutions—appears to worsen <b>J.</b> symptoms. Some current research on <b>J.</b> is focused on the contributory role of Saudi money, although no single isolated “quantitative” cause has been found. The many possible combinations of symptoms have triggered debate about whether the diagnosis represents a single disorder or a number of discrete syndromes, such as the <i>Weiningerian self-hate syndrome</i> articulated by Dr. S. Trifkowitz in the 1990’s.</p>
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<p>People with <b>Jihadophilia </b>are likely to have additional (<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comorbidity">comorbid</a>) conditions, including advocacy of “immigration reform” (i.e. <i>amnesty</i>) and “gay marriage,” as well as the lifetime occurrence of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Substance_use_disorder">substance use disorder</a>, primarily of power (as described by <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Dalberg-Acton,_1st_Baron_Acton">John Dalberg, 1<sup>st</sup> Baron Acton</a>), but the secondary propensity to graft should not be neglected. The disorder initially affects <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognition">cognition</a>, but <b>J’s</b> behavioral consequences invariably lead to chronic morbidities, such as the native European and European-descended population replacement by the unassimilable—in Europe’s case overwhelmingly Muslim—immigrant communities.</p>
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<p>The mainstay of <b>Jihadophilia</b> treatment is still in the development stage. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psychotherapy">Psychotherapy</a> and vocational and social rehabilitation are believed to be ineffective. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emergency_psychiatry">Involuntary hospitalization</a> will be necessary when the social and political conditions make <b>J’s</b> long-overdue effective treatment methods possible, probably a decade or two from now.</p>
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		<title>Dominique Venner, a French Samurai</title>
		<link>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/05/21/dominique-venner-a-french-samurai-2/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/05/21/dominique-venner-a-french-samurai-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 May 2013 20:54:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Srdja Trifkovic</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Dominique Venner, prominent French author and much-decorated Algerian war veteran who shot himself before the altar of Notre Dame Cathedral in Paris on May 21, was a determined foe of homosexual “marriage”—which was legalized in France last weekend—and the threat of Islam to the French society.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dominique <a href="http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/69/Dominique_venner.jpg">Venner</a>, prominent French author and much-decorated Algerian war veteran who shot himself before the altar of Notre Dame Cathedral in Paris on May 21, was a determined foe of homosexual “marriage”—which was legalized in France last weekend—and the threat of Islam to the French society. In Venner’s view, both issues were equally “disastrous” for France’s identity.</p>
<p>In the last entry in his blog, posted on the day of his suicide, he bewailed the failure of peaceful mass protests to prevent the passage of the marriage law and wrote of the need for “new, spectacular and symbolic gestures to wake up the sleep-walkers, to shake the slumbering consciousness and to remind us of our origins.” In his words, “We are entering a time when words must be backed up by actions.” “It is here and now that our destiny is played out to the very last second,” he wrote. “And this final second has as much importance as the rest of a life.” He also warned that “the population of France and Europe is about to be replaced,” brought under Islamist control and sharia law. The content of a sealed letter which he placed at the altar of the cathedral before shooting himself is still unknown.</p>
<p>Venner first gained prominence in 1956, when he took part in an attack on Communist Party headquarters in Paris in protest at the Soviet suppression of the 1956 Hungarian Revolution. He later joined the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Organisation_de_l%27Arm%C3%A9e_Secr%C3%A8te">Organisation de l'Armée Secrète</a> (OAS), an illegal organization which opposed Algeria’s independence, and served 18 months in jail after the group’s failed plot to kill President Charles De Gaulle.</p>
<p>Following his release from prison, in January 1963 Venner joined <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alain_de_Benoist">Alain de Benoist</a> to create a movement and magazine called “Europe-Action,” which was composed of nationalists, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Europeanist">Europeanists</a>, and former OAS members. He also created, with <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thierry_Maulnier">Thierry Maulnier</a>, the <i>Institut d'études occidentales (IEO).</i> In 1970 founded its revue, <i>Cité-Liberté</i> (City-Liberty), which attracted numerous French and foreign intellectuals, including Thomas Molnar. In 1981 his <i>Histoire de l'Armée rouge</i> won a prestigious award from the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acad%C3%A9mie_fran%C3%A7aise"><i>Académie française</i></a><i>.</i> In 2002 Venner wrote a major work, <i>Histoire et tradition des Européens,</i> which sought to trace the common cultural bases of European civilization, and in which he presented his theory of “traditionalism.” At the time of his death he was editor of the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=La_Nouvelle_Revue_d%27Histoire&amp;action=edit&amp;redlink=1"><i>La Nouvelle Revue d'Histoire</i></a>.</p>
<p>Venner’s editor, Pierre-Guillaume de Roux, said that his suicide went “far beyond” the same-sex marriage issue. He added that Venner had been writing a new book, “A Samurai of the West: The Breviary of the Unsubued.” That title brings to mind the ritual suicide of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yukio_Mishima">Yukio Mishima</a> in 1970, after a failed coup attempt. This is <a href="http://www.counter-currents.com/2013/05/the-reasons-for-a-voluntary-death/#more-39528">Venner’s explanation for his gesture</a> in full:</p>
<blockquote><p><b>The Reasons for a Voluntary Death</b></p>
<p>I am healthy in body and mind, and I am filled with love for my wife and children. I love life and expect nothing beyond, if not the perpetuation of my race and my mind. However, in the evening of my life, facing immense dangers to my French and European homeland, I feel the duty to act as long as I still have strength. I believe it necessary to sacrifice myself to break the lethargy that plagues us. I give up what life remains to me in order to protest and to found. I chose a highly symbolic place, the Cathedral of Notre Dame de Paris, which I respect and admire: she was built by the genius of my ancestors on the site of cults still more ancient, recalling our immemorial origins.</p>
<p>While many men are slaves of their lives, my gesture embodies an ethic of will. I give myself over to death to awaken slumbering consciences. I rebel against fate. I protest against poisons of the soul and the desires of invasive individuals to destroy the anchors of our identity, including the family, the intimate basis of our multi-millennial civilization. While I defend the identity of all peoples in their homes, I also rebel against the crime of the replacement of our people.</p>
<p>The dominant discourse cannot leave behind its toxic ambiguities, and Europeans must bear the consequences. Lacking an identitarian religion to moor us, we share a common memory going back to Homer, a repository of all the values on which our future rebirth will be founded once we break with the metaphysics of the unlimited, the baleful source of all modern excesses.</p>
<p>I apologize in advance to anyone who will suffer due to my death, first and foremost to my wife, my children, and my grandchildren, as well as my friends and followers. But once the pain and shock fade, I do not doubt that they will understand the meaning of my gesture and transcend their sorrow with pride. I hope that they shall endure together. They will find in my recent writings intimations and explanations of my actions.</p>
<p>For more information, one can go to my publisher, Pierre-Guillaume Roux. He was not informed of my decision, but he has known me a long time.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Letter From Budapest: A Hungarian Rhapsody</title>
		<link>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/05/20/letter-from-budapest-a-hungarian-rhapsody/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/05/20/letter-from-budapest-a-hungarian-rhapsody/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 May 2013 16:08:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Srdja Trifkovic</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Here is a decent little country in the heart of Europe—good food, safe streets, rich soil—which could be a Pannonian version of Holland, but it is not a happy place. ]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last week I traveled to Budapest to <a href="http://www.wcax.com/story/22232923/eu-should-take-a-stronger-position-on-enp-policies">attend a conference</a> on the thorny issue of EU-Ukraine relations. The visit prompted me to explore an apparent paradox. Here is a decent little country in the heart of Europe—good food, safe streets, rich soil—which could be a Pannonian version of Holland, but it is not a happy place. Hungary presents a comfortable, modestly prosperous image to the visitor, but it is inhabited by people prone to <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jOqiolytFw4">melancholy</a>, who complain more bitterly of their daily lot than their far poorer eastern neighbors. Recent surveys suggest that Hungarians are <a href="http://budapost.eu/2013/02/hungary-a-country-full-of-pessimism">“extremely dissatisfied with their lives and pessimistic about their future.”</a></p>
<p>What went wrong? I shared a light lunch with a friend whose assessments of Hungary’s social and political scene are trustworthy. Dr. Peter Kiss is an Hungarian-born American who retired from the U.S. Army a decade ago after 20 years’ service. Back in his native city, he now teaches at the elite University of Public Service (formerly the Miklos Zrinyi National Defense University). Peter is a Cold Warrior of yore. As a high school senior and then student in the bland years of Janos Kadar’s “goulash socialism,” he could only dream of the fall of the Wall. A cultural and social conservative, he should be a natural ally of Hungary’s present, ostensibly nationalist government—but this is not the case. Peter’s experiences of Hungary’s post-communism have been disheartening, prompting him “to start reading some leftist papers.”</p>
<p>My first question concerned Viktor Orban, Hungary’s Prime Minister for the past three years, who has the reputation of <i>l’enfant terrible</i> of the European Union. On May 17 he deepened his government’s latent tensions with Germany by <a href="http://www.thelocal.de/politics/20130520-49805.html#.UZoRz8qsRdo">comparing</a> the policies of German Chancellor Angela Merkel to the 1944 Nazi invasion of his country. “The Germans already sent the cavalry once, and in the form of tanks,” Orbàn told listeners to his weekly radio broadcast last Friday, “Our request would be that they did not send them again.” Who is Orban, and what does he stand for? Someone who is chronically in the EU’s bad books, and who has the guts to stand up to Merkel, presumably is a decent sort…</p>
<p><i>Peter Kiss:</i> I have a negative view of Orban. Everything done by him and his party has only one goal: to keep Orban and the party in power. If riding the nationalist sentiment gets them there, then they will act accordingly. If some other ideology appears preferable, they will embrace it. In the meantime they are not doing much good for the country, for the economy, and for the prosperity of the average Hungarian. The policies of this government have made the economic environment unpredictable. Investors are either fleeing the country if they can, or else they are stuck. Foreigners with investment capital will think twice or three times before they commit themselves to a project in Hungary. The rate of investment has fallen significantly over the past three years. Orban is a very dividing person. He thrives on conflict. He picks up fights when there is no real sense or need for those fights. He has successfully divided the country between his supporters –who have very close ranks, and who have a strong leader they can follow—and the opposition which is disunited. Orban managed to create a very firm base of support, very determined and united, but he has not been a good leader for the country.</p>
<p><i>ST:</i> But he has resisted various attempts by Brussels to meddle in Hungary’s internal affairs…</p>
<p><i>PK:</i> True enough, but the EU is no longer an economic community, it is a political union which expects certain rules to be followed. Orban has challenged this by removing, over the past three years, various checks and balances that allow democracy to function. For example, over the past twenty-odd years the Constitutional Court had functioned as a watchdog, but with the majority that Orban has gathered at the last election he has managed to undermine that role. The Court’s authority is now severely limited. It no longer has the ability to examine the constitutionality of new laws concerning taxation. Even constitutional amendments adopted in Parliament are beyond the Constitutional Court’s reach. When it found certain items in the new law on the media unconstitutional, it was powerless to change them. The same applies to the electoral law, which many Hungarians find objectionable. Too many laws are passed with the two-thirds super-majority which makes them untouchable, either by the Constitutional Court or by the parliamentary opposition. The fact that the constitutional authority and legislative authority are no longer divided is really a self-inflicted wound by the Hungarian polity. In the U.S. a constitutional amendment needs to be ratified by two-thirds of the states. There is no equivalent check in Hungary’s case.</p>
<p>ST: But from the vantage point of a traditional American conservative, there are many aspects of Hungary’s current scene that seem agreeable. “Same-sex marriage” is not an issue, immigration is not an issue, and the obsession with PC multiculturalism is absent. Hungary appears to be a stable, pleasingly monocultural society…</p>
<p>PK: Yes, absolutely. I am not saying that the Orban government is wrong on every count, but even a broken clock is right twice a day. My objection is that if you draw the balance sheet, in my view the balance is negative. Take the demographic problem. In Hungary it is as bad, or even worse, than in many parts of Europe. The problem is exacerbated by a very high level of emigration. Many young people go to Germany, Austria or other EU countries, initially with the intention of eventually returning, but few actually do.</p>
<p>The Gypsy minority of 8 percent has three times the birth rate of the non-Gypsy population, and the tension between those two communities is not good for the country in the long run. The Gypsy problem exists partly because of the Gypsies, but also in a large part because of the Hungarians’ attitude towards them. The Gypsies are the big losers of the collapse of Communism. Since then, successive governments have tried, and failed, to handle the problem. Meanwhile, the Gypsies’ demographic growth results in their increasing presence, which is resented by the majority population.</p>
<p>I see a negative cultural transfer taking place, manifested in a very strong far-right movement, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jobbik">Jobbik</a>. It is probably stronger than anywhere in Eastern Europe, and with 17% of the vote they are in parliament. They enjoy a strong following among university students, so it is not only a blue-collar phenomenon. I am not suggesting that Jobbik is part of a brewing insurgency, but extreme movements—of the far-left or the far-right—tend to have a dual character. There’s the official party, represented in parliament, and there’s the movement with a radical agenda, somewhat like the official Sinn Fein and the IRA in the 1980’s. We have not seen that level of violence yet, but the street gangs are there, the potential is there. Their deputies have the immunity and the respectability of having been elected, and they can easily deny any connection with the street gangs. But if you are skeptical enough, or cynical enough, you can see something similar in the case of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fidesz">Fidesz</a>, Orban’s party. They are the majority party with all the power that this gives them, but there are also the rubble-rousers who follow the leaders’ guidance. I see significant potential for future discord, especially since there seems to be little chance of any major economic improvement in the years to come.</p>
<p>The political, social, and economic problems of today’s Hungary are largely invisible to the casual visitor. Budapest seems vibrant and prosperous. The city’s half-dozen Danube bridges that connect Buda’s hilly maize of cobbled streets and alleyways with Pest’s <i>belle-epoque</i> business district are teeming with foreign tourists. Not all is well in Pannonia, however, and Hungary will provide a barometer of the wider dilemmas and tensions of the Old Continent in the years to come.</p>
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		<title>Benghazi: The Undoing of Hillary</title>
		<link>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/05/10/benghazi-the-undoing-of-hillary/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/05/10/benghazi-the-undoing-of-hillary/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 May 2013 20:45:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Srdja Trifkovic</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[It remains to be seen who will be the Democratic presidential candidate in 2016. After this week’s congressional hearings on Benghazi it is certain that Hillary Clinton—the worst Secretary of State in American history—will not be that person.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It remains to be seen who will be the Democratic presidential candidate in 2016. After this week’s congressional hearings on Benghazi it is certain that Hillary Clinton—the worst Secretary of State in American history—will not be that person. If this country’s political system has some spark left, the Libyan scandal will also come to define the Obama presidency.</p>
<p>The Department of State and the White House did their utmost to conceal the true nature of the attack last September 11, in which Ambassador Christopher Stevens and three other Americans were killed. It was a brazen act of Islamic terrorism, carried out by hard-core jihadists, of course, but the Administration was understandably loath to admit that its former Libyan protégés were the culprits. The result was an elaborate, conspiratorial subterfuge. It entailed penalizing a senior career diplomat—Gregory Hicks, the Deputy Mission Chief in Tripoli—who refused to go along with the Administration’s patently absurd claim that the attack was the result of a spontaneous demonstration sparked off by an “anti-Islamic” video posted on YouTube.</p>
<p>Last Wednesday, Hicks testified before the House Oversight Committee that he called an acting assistant secretary to dispute Susan Rice’s claim—made on Sunday news shows five days after the attack—that the outrage was caused by the clip. He said he was “stunned” by the claim, because he knew that the video was actually a “nonevent” in Libya. “My jaw dropped,” he said. “I was embarrassed.” Hicks was immediately rebuked for his misgivings, and told in no uncertain terms to drop that line of questioning. He got a call from Beth Jones, an acting assistant secretary to then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, to stop doubting Washington’s stance that the attack was spurred by a protest: “The sense I got is that I needed to stop my line of questioning.” All efforts to get military help to the consulate were rebuffed, according to Hicks, and special forces in Tripoli wanting to help were “furious.”</p>
<p>Hicks further said that, within weeks, his performance was criticized by superiors: he received a “blistering critique” of his management style. This was a classic case of punishing the potential whistle-blower, not for speaking out—Hicks had remained silent until the hearing—but for doing his job. Hicks also revealed that Cheryl Mills, Hillary Clinton’s Chief of Staff, told him that he could not speak to Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah)—who went to Libya on a fact-finding mission—unless a State Department attorney was in attendance. Hicks called the attorney “the minder,” send to monitor what was being said.</p>
<p>The end result was a demotion of Hicks. As Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) noted, his testimony provided proof conclusive that Hillary Clinton was personally involved in trying to suppress information about the true nature of the attack.</p>
<p>Mark Thompson, under-secretary at the Department of State’s counterterrorism bureau, provided evidence that supported Hick’s account—and then some more. He testified that the Foreign Emergency Support Team (FEST), was <i>not allowed</i> to respond to the attack. Thompson noted that FEST was specifically created to respond to just such attacks. This tallies with Hicks. “Is anything coming?” he asked a defense attaché at the embassy in Tripoli as he worked to coordinate a response during the attack. “Will they be sending us any help? Is there something out there?” There was nothing, by the will of Washington.</p>
<p>Following Hick’s testimony House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) asked the White House and State Department to release all emails related to the attack which House committees were able to see, but not keep or share, during their investigation: “Last I remember, the President said, and I'll quote, ‘Would be happy to cooperate with the Congress in any way the Congress wants.’ Well, this is his chance to show his cooperation so that we can get to the truth of what happened in Benghazi.” Boehner is asking for two sets of emails which show that the White House tried to change the initial characterization of the attack in Benghazi from a potential terrorist attack by Islamic terrorists to a spontaneous demonstration in reaction to the amateur film: “The truth shouldn't be hidden from the American people behind a White House firewall.”</p>
<p>The first set of emails, sent one day after the attack, provide evidence that a senior State Department official told her superiors that in his final message Stevens said the attack “was conducted by Islamic terrorists.” This was four days before Susan Rice said went on <i>Meet the Press</i> and other Sunday news shows to claim that the attack was the result of a spontaneous demonstration. The second set of emails concerns frantic exchanges between the White House and State Department officials, where the former “insisted on removing all references to the terrorist attack to protect the State Department for providing inadequate security.”</p>
<p>According to Boehner, “somebody clearly decided they didn’t like the references to Islamic terrorism and made changes in this document.”</p>
<p>Contrary to administration claims that the mistaken description of the nature of the attack reflected “the best intelligence at the time,” we now know that the talking points that led to Susan Rice’s statement were revised 12 times. Early drafts contained references to Al Qaeda but they were later deleted. Especially damning is the fact that State Department spokesman Victoria Nuland pressed the CIA to delete references to the agency’s earlier warnings. As ABC News reported on Friday, the original paragraph read:</p>
<blockquote><p>The Agency has produced numerous pieces on the threat of extremists linked to al-Qa’ida in Benghazi and eastern Libya. These noted that, since April [2012[, there have been at least five other attacks against foreign interests in Benghazi by unidentified assailants, including the June attack against the British Ambassador's convoy. We cannot rule out the individuals has previously surveilled the U.S. facilities, also contributing to the efficacy of the attacks.</p></blockquote>
<p>Nuland wrote that the lines “could be abused by members [of Congress] to beat up the State Department for not paying attention to warnings, so why would we want to feed that either? Concerned ...” The offending paragraph was duly deleted. It is now also known that then-CIA Director David Petraeus voiced surprise when he learned three days after the attack that officials had deleted all prior references to Al Qaeda and jihadists, leaving only the word “extremists.”</p>
<p>White House Press Secretary Jay Carney nevertheless maintains that “what we said and what remains true to this day is that the intelligence community drafted and redrafted these points.” He stood by claim that White House involvement was minimal: “the only edits made by anyone here at the White House were stylistic and non-substantive. They corrected the description of the building or the facility in Benghazi from <i>consulate</i> to <i>diplomatic facility</i> and the like.” On the same day State Department spokesman Patrick Ventrell asserted that Rice’s comments were based on the intelligence community’s “best assessment that there was not any evidence of months-long pre-planning or pre-meditation, which remains their assessment.”</p>
<p>This is no mere spinmaster’s misrepresentation, it is a lie. On the basis of numerous off-the-record conversations with those in the know, I can aver that it never was the intelligence community’s true assessment, and it is not its assessment now.</p>
<p>The truth of the matter is that Obama and his team remain hell-bent on constructing user-friendly jihadists, and they will not allow the reality to get in the way of their construct. Egypt, the pivotal Arab nation, has already paid the price, as well as Libya and Tunisia. Syria may be next. Boston was but a minor sideshow, in terms of blood but not in terms of impact, in the unfolding tragedy. We have the most jihad-friendly administration the non-Muslim world has ever known.</p>
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		<title>The Lessons of Boston</title>
		<link>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/05/06/the-lessons-of-boston/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/05/06/the-lessons-of-boston/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 May 2013 15:21:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Srdja Trifkovic</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign Affairs]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Srdja Trifkovic]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/?p=8839</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Three weeks after the bombings it is possible to make some firm and a few tentative conclusions. The most important fact is that the outrage was an act of Islamic terrorism.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Three weeks after the bombings it is possible to make some firm and a few tentative conclusions. The most important fact is that the outrage was an act of Islamic terrorism. The attackers were Muslims, but the U.S. elite class—by ignoring that fact or denying its relevance—makes a comprehensive anti-jihadist strategy less likely than at any time since 9-11.</p>
<p><span id="more-8839"></span>The culprit-in-chief is President Barack Obama, who has banned the use of the words “Muslim” or “Islam” in the official American discourse on terrorism. In mandating the disconnect Obama has gone well beyond the squeamishness of Western bien-pensants in naming the enemy and their chronic tendency to see all religions as interchangeable. By placing a ban on any meaningful debate on the link between Islam and terrorism Obama is effectively aiding and abetting the enemy. In reality the jihadist threat can never be controlled by focusing on causes external to Islam itself. That enemy has a clear ideology and a standard blueprint for radical political and social action. The result is a global phenomenon that cannot be compared in fanaticism and readiness for violence with any other ideology in today’s world.</p>
<p>It is an undeniable fact that Muslim immigration and the existence of a Muslim diaspora in a country are directly connected to that country being the target of terror. The aversion to profiling is a glaring symptom of the elite class pathology. Law-enforcers in other parts of the world pay no heed to the dictates of “sensitivity.” Arabs profile other Arabs, Indians profile Pakistanis, Japanese profile Chinese, and everyone profiles Africans. Israel profiles everyone entering and exiting all the time, and makes no qualms about it. One percent of Muslims living in the United States were responsible for over 90 percent of terrorist offences and serious threats in the country since 9-11. A young Muslim man is literally tens of millions of times more likely to carry out a terrorist attack in the United States than an Episcopalian, Roman Catholic, or Orthodox Christian, a Jew, a Hindu, or a Buddhist. Or for that matter a Lebanese Christian. Membership of a group is a valid pointer in assuming and judging unobserved behavioral characteristics of an individual, especially in the absence of specific information about that individual's background. To suggest otherwise is neither moral nor sane.</p>
<p>It is essential to define and understand the enemy. Are Muslim terrorists—the only variety that seriously threatens the United States and the Western world—true or false to the tenets of their faith? The answer has to be based on Islam’s history and dogma, not on any a priori judgment by those who presume to know the answer or, worse still, may have ulterior motives—e.g. Obama—for not wanting the truth known. The result is that most Americans remain largely ignorant of Islam’s record of interaction with other societies and faiths, and therefore unable to understand the motives, ambitions and methods of terrorists. Some will understand intuitively that the attacks in Boston were not an aberration of Islam’s alleged peace and tolerance, but a predictable consequence of the ideology of Jihad. That understanding needs to be universal.</p>
<p>Obama clearly sees the above view as illegitimate today and punishable under some hate speech statute tomorrow. His forthcoming amnesty of all those unknown millions of illegal aliens will go hand in hand with the treatment of a growing Muslim diaspora as a fixed given that must not be scrutinized in any anti-terrorist context. As I wrote in Defeating Jihad seven years ago, an effective defense against terrorism demands a re-think of our foreign and military policies. What were the costs and benefits of supporting the Muslim side in the Caucasus and the Balkans? But let me repeat the obvious: the impact of ongoing Muslim migratory influx into the developed world is inseparable from any coherent long-term defense strategy. Controlling the borders is only the first step. The application of clearly defined criteria related to terrorism in deciding who will be admitted into the country, and in determining who should be allowed to stay from among those who are already here, is essential. Carefully evaluating the ideological profile of all prospective visitors to America, and systematically re-examining the behavior of all resident aliens and checking the bona-fides of naturalized citizens, is an essential ingredient of a serious anti-terrorist strategy. To that end, Islamic activism needs to be treated as an excludable, eminently political, rather than “religious” activity.</p>
<p>The victory against terrorism ultimately has to be won in the domain of morals and culture. It can be won only by an America hat has regained its awareness of its moral, spiritual, and civilizational roots. Instead, after every act of Islamic terrorism, we are served fresh doses of antidiscriminationism and tolerance. In 1938 Hilaire Belloc wondered, “Will not perhaps the temporal power of Islam return and with it the menace of an armed Muhammadan world which will shake the dominion of Europeans—still nominally Christian—and reappear again as the prime enemy of our civilization?” Now we know the answer. We are on fast track towards the grand Gleichschaltung of nations, races, and cultures that will mark the end of history.</p>
<p>As I wrote six years ago and reiterate today, we need laws that will treat any naturalized citizen’s or legally resident alien’s known adherence to an Islamist world outlook as <i>excludable—</i>on <i>political</i>, rather than “religious” grounds. The <i>sharia,</i> to a Muslim, is not an addition to the “secular” legal code with which it coexists; it is the only <i>true</i> code, the only basis of obligation. To be legitimate, all political power therefore must rest exclusively with those who enjoy Allah’s authority on the basis of his revealed will—and for as long as they remain infidel, both Europe and America are illegitimate. So how can a self-avowedly devout Muslim take the oath, and expect the rest of us to believe that it was done in good faith? Because he is practicing <i>taqiyya</i>, the art of elaborate lying that was inaugurated by Muhammad to help destabilize and undermine non-Muslim communities almost ripe for a touch of Jihad. (Or else because he is not devout enough and confused, but in that case there is the ever-present danger that at some point he will rediscover his roots.)</p>
<p>Those who preach or promote jihad and advocate the introduction of sharia can and should be treated in exactly the same manner that adherents of other totalitarian ideologies had been treated in the free world during the Cold War. My five key conclusions from 2005-6 still stand:</p>
<p><b>Seek zero porosity of the borders.</b> No anti-jihadist strategy is possible without complete physical control of borders. Illegal immigration is a major <i>security</i> threat.</p>
<p><b>Demand denial of amnesty to</b> illegal immigrants from nations and groups at risk for Islamic terrorism.</p>
<p><b>Discard the irrational ban on “profiling.”</b> Not all Muslims are terrorists, but all transnational terrorist networks that threaten Western countries’ national security and way of life are composed of Muslims. It is time to accept that “profiling” based on a person’s appearance, origin, and apparent or suspected beliefs is an essential tool of trade of law enforcement and war on terrorism. Just ask the Israelis!</p>
<p><b>Subject the work of Islamic centers to legal limitations and security supervision.</b> All over the Western world, Islamic centers have provided platforms for exhortations to the faithful to support causes and to engage in acts that are morally reprehensible, legally punishable, and detrimental to the host country’s national security. They have provided shelter to the outlaws, and offered recruitment to the leaders.</p>
<p><b>Treat affiliation with Islamic activism as grounds for denial or revoking of any level of security clearance.</b> Such affiliation is incompatible with the requirements of personal commitment, patriotic loyalty and unquestionable reliability that are essential in the military, law enforcement, intelligence services, and other related branches of government (e.g. immigration control, airport security). Presence of practicing Muslims in any of these institutions would present an inherent risk to its integrity and would undermine morale.</p>
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		<title>Kosovo, a Frozen Conflict</title>
		<link>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/04/15/kosovo-a-frozen-conflict/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/04/15/kosovo-a-frozen-conflict/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Apr 2013 23:33:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Srdja Trifkovic</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/?p=8772</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Until a week ago it appeared that the government in Belgrade would give up the last vestiges of its claim to Kosovo for the sake of some indeterminate date in the future when Serbia may join the European Union.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Until a week ago it appeared that the government in Belgrade would give up the last vestiges of its claim to Kosovo for the sake of some indeterminate date in the future when Serbia may join the European Union. A series of unreciprocated concessions over the past few months have encouraged the KLA regime’s mentors in Washington and their European backers to expect the final capitulation. In the end they overplayed their hand by demanding everything and offering nothing.</p>
<p><span id="more-8772"></span>The demands have been escalating for years. The final objective was stated in December 2011, German Chancellor Angela Merkel came to Serbia to declare that the “path of Serbia into the EU can only lead through the normalization of its relations with Kosovo”—i.e., Serbia’s recognition of Kosovo. This precondition was stated with her customary subtlety and diplomatic tact, but at least it had the quality of candor which made it difficult for Boris Tadić and his eurofanatical Democrats to pretend that “the European path” did not entail eventual surrender.</p>
<p>The defeat of Tadić last May and the subsequent establishment of a new, <a href="http://www.voanews.com/content/dacic-serbian-nationalist-takes-power-in-serbia/1448322.html">allegedly nationalist</a> coalition government in July did not result in any change of course. Quite the contrary: Washington and Brussels were surprisingly comfortable dealing with Šešelj’s former No. 2, Tomislav Nikolić, as president, and a former Milošević loyalist, Ivica Dačić, as prime minister. The key “Westerner” in the triumvirate is Aleksandar Vučić, known for his embarrassingly <a href="http://www.b92.net/eng/news/politics-article.php?yyyy=2013&amp;mm=02&amp;dd=22&amp;nav_id=84817">groveling statements on visits to Germany and the U.S.</a></p>
<p>There were no dividends, however. Last October Secretary of State <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/c/hillary_rodham_clinton/index.html?8qa">Hillary Clinton</a> said that Serbs must accept that they cannot change Kosovo’s borders. “We oppose any discussion of territorial changes or reopening Kosovo’s independent status,” Mrs. Clinton <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/01/world/europe/clinton-urges-serbia-to-accept-kosovo-and-its-borders.html?_r=0">declared in Priština</a> after meeting with Kosovo’s self-styled prime minister, <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/t/hashim_thaci/index.html?8qa">Hashim Thaci</a>. “These matters are not up for discussion. The boundaries of an independent, sovereign Kosovo are clear and set.”</p>
<p>Last December, under EU pressure, Serbia agreed to the establishment of a fully-fledged border management system. It provided a visible symbol of Belgrade’s loss of nerve. Furthermore, Dačić was forced to agree to joint passport and customs controls, with equal numbers of Serbian and “Kosovar” officials on duty. Accepting Priština’s right to collect customs duties on goods coming from central Serbia was a significant milestone on what seemed like a terminal slide. Unsurprisingly, the Albanians saw the border as another step toward international recognition.</p>
<p>Serbia’s government policy guidelines made public last January no longer focused on the claim of sovereign rights over the entire province, but on the modest demand for an autonomous status for some 60,000 Serbs living in four northern municipalities. Prime Minister Ivica Dačić even hinted that Serbia could agree to a UN seat for Kosovo, which caused a political storm in Belgrade, although he later withdrew the statement. But as <a href="http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/serbias-olive-branch-7993">Ted Carpenter noted in The National Interest</a>, both U.S. and EU leaders had reacted to previous conciliatory gestures from Serbia with intransigence bordering on contempt:</p>
<blockquote><p>A majority of countries in the European Union, <a href="http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-skeptics/the-kosovo-powder-keg-6218">most crucially Germany</a>, have adopted a similar rigid stance. U.S. and EU leaders assume that Serbia wants membership in the European Union so badly that Serb leaders will ultimately adopt a policy of unconditional surrender regarding the Kosovo issue. That may well be a dangerous miscalculation. The current government … has already moved far beyond Serbian public opinion in offering possible diplomatic compromises.</p></blockquote>
<p>True to form, during the latest round of negotiations the EU managed to break the camel’s back by refusing to offer even a fig leaf to the Belgrade troika, not even on the minimal demand that the Serbs be allowed to form an association of municipalities in the north.</p>
<p>There was no “deal” on offer from Brussels, and at the same time Germany’s lawmakers presented an incredible list of seven demands which Serbia has to complete if she is to be granted… no, not the EU membership, but a date for the commencement of negotiations that may eventually lead to membership:</p>
<ol>
<li>To fulfill all 96 points presented by the European Commission in early 2011;</li>
<li>To find and prosecute the demonstrators who attacked the German embassy in Belgrade; in February 2008, a day after Berlin recognized Kosovo’s independence;</li>
<li>To accept, and not deny, that a “genocide” was committed in Srebrenica;</li>
<li>To make visible progress in resolving all open issues in direct dialogue with Kosovo.</li>
<li>To abolish all Serbian “parallel institutions” in northern Kosovo (such as schools and hospitals), and to stop financing them;</li>
<li>To apply pressure on northern Kosovo Serbs to “actively cooperate” with EULEX and Kfor;</li>
<li>To display visible readiness for legally binding normalization of relations with Kosovo.</li>
</ol>
<p>The only logical explanation for this piece of 1930’s-style diplomatic brutality is that the Germans want to push Serbia into Russia’s arms as part of establishing an elaborate geopolitical partnership with Moscow. Putin has already responded with $500m soft loan to Belgrade, with the promise of more to come. He would not have done it had Nikolić and Dačić not accepted that the long, futile quest for Serbia’s place under the Western sun is over. One likely consequence is that the dispute over Kosovo will remain frozen for years to come, as it should.</p>
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		<title>A Storm in a Korean Teacup</title>
		<link>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/04/05/a-storm-in-a-korean-teacup/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/04/05/a-storm-in-a-korean-teacup/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Apr 2013 20:07:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Srdja Trifkovic</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/?p=8746</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On April 4 the Pentagon announced that it was sending a mobile missile defense system to Guam as a “precautionary move” to protect the island from the potential threat from North Korea.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On April 4 <a href="http://articles.latimes.com/2013/apr/03/world/la-fg-korea-missile-defense-20130404">the Pentagon announced</a> that it was sending a mobile missile defense system to Guam as a “precautionary move” to protect the island from the potential threat from North Korea. The Terminal High Altitude Area Defense system (THAAD) comprises ground-based interceptors in Alaska and California, as well as naval vessels capable of shooting down missiles.</p>
<p>On the same day, <a href="http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Latest-News-Wires/2013/0403/U.S.-readies-for-real-and-clear-danger-from-North-Korea">Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel said that</a> North Korea posed a “real and clear danger” to the island, to U.S. allies in the region, and even to the United States. Its leaders have “ratcheted up their bellicose, dangerous rhetoric,” Hagel told the National Defense University in Washington. Areas at risk include South Korea and Japan, he added, as well as Guam, Hawaii and the West Coast of the United States. “We have to take those threats seriously,” he said.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/wp-content/uploads/nkorea.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-8747" title="nkorea" src="http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/wp-content/uploads/nkorea.jpg" alt="" width="179" height="211" /></a>It is the job of defense secretaries to take all threats seriously, but there is less than meets the eye to this one. While media coverage of tensions with North Korea makes it appear that its recent threats in response to the <a href="http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/04/05/uk-korea-north-usa-drills-idUKBRE93400C20130405">ongoing “Foal Eagle”</a> U.S.-South Korean military exercises came unexpectedly, Pyongyang has a long history of objecting vehemently to such war games. North Korea is using bizarre rhetoric—as it has done many times before—but there is no “real and present danger,” because the country’s nuclear and missile delivery capabilities are rudimentary now and will remain so for years to come. Its three nuclear tests thus far—in 2006, 2009 and on February 12 of this year—amounted to a total yield of around 10 kilotons, or less than one-half the power of the bomb that destroyed Nagasaki in August 1945. At least two, and possibly all three, of those tests used plutonium as the fissile material. Crude and bulky, plutonium devices cannot be fitted onto a missile.</p>
<p>North Korea’s claims to have miniaturized its latest device are unproven and probably untrue: no tell-tale isotopes indicative of weapons-grade uranium have been detected. In addition, at the moment, its uranium-enrichment facilities are not producing requisite quantities of highly-enriched uranium (HEU). The Yongbyon site—the country’s main nuclear facility—has been limited to electricity generation for the past five years, as part of a disarmament-for-aid deal signed in September 2005. The agreement’s implementation was always wrought with difficulties, however. Last month, the regime vowed to restart all facilities at Yongbyon—presumably including uranium enrichment to weapons-grade levels (HEU). They have <a href="http://iis-db.stanford.edu/pubs/23035/HeckerYongbyon.pdf">the technical ability to do this</a>, but even if the enrichment program proceeds immediately North Korea will be several years away from producing a deliverable device on a reliable missile.</p>
<p>In the final months of Kim Jong-il’s life it appeared that the talks with the U.S. on the control of North Korea’s nuclear facilities would be restarted. After he died in December 2011, his young son and successor Kim Jong-un soon shifted emphasis from hoped-for cooperation to confrontation. In February 2012, Pyongyang unexpectedly announced that it would suspend nuclear activities and observe a moratorium on nuclear and long-range missile tests in return for American food aid. That agreement was suspended after North Korea unsuccessfully launched a <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/13/world/asia/north-korea-launches-rocket-defying-world-warnings.html?pagewanted=all&amp;_r=0">rocket carrying a satellite a year ago</a>, which caused major embarrassment to the regime. A successful launch came last December, swiftly followed by the tightening of international sanctions in January (this time supported by China), a third nuclear test in February, and the ongoing escalation of warlike rhetoric since early March.</p>
<p>That rhetoric is a mix of bluster and bravado. Even if it had the theoretical wherewithal to threaten the United States—which it does not have—North Korea could not do it credibly: a single missile, or two, or five, would be fairly easy to intercept and destroy, and the ensuing retaliation would turn much of the People’s Democratic Republic into a parking lot. In the fullness of time the North may develop a device capable of fitting into a warhead, but it will have no guidance system necessary for accuracy and no re-entry technology to bring an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) back to Earth. According to the UK-based <a href="http://www.iiss.org/publications/strategic-comments/past-issues/volume-18-2012/december/north-korea-a-year-into-the-reign-of-kim-jong-un">International Institute for Strategic Studies,</a> North Korea has something that can hit American shores, but a “functioning nuclear-tipped intercontinental ballistic missile is still at least several years away.”</p>
<p>Even if it were to miniaturize a half-dozen nuclear weapons and perfect some form of functioning delivery system, North Korea would not be able to use them as a means of blackmail to alter the regional balance of power. The U.S., Russia, China, Great Britain, France, India, Pakistan, and Israel have possessed nuclear weapons for decades. None of them has ever been able to change the <em>status quo</em> in its favor by threatening to use the bomb. The possession of nuclear weapons by one of the parties did not impact the outcome in Korea in 1953, or Suez in 1956, or prevent the two superpowers’ defeats, in Vietnam and Afghanistan respectively. It makes no difference to China’s stalled efforts to bring Taiwan under its control. South Africa had developed its own nuclear arsenal in the 1980s—it has been dismantled since—but this did not enhance its government’s ability to resist the pressure to dismantle the Apartheid in the early 1990’s. The political effect of a country’s possession of nuclear weapons has been to force its potential adversaries to exercise caution and to freeze the existing frontiers. There is no reason to think that North Korea will be an exception to the rule.</p>
<p>The root causes of North Korea’s apparently reckless behavior are predominantly domestic, as usual. Kim Jong-un, the third absolute ruler in the dynasty established by his late grandfather Kim Il-sung, is young (29), untested and insecure. When his father Kim Jong-il died on December 17, 2011, the military and Party leadership accepted his third son as the designated successor, but it was not immediately clear whether Jong-un would in fact take full power right away. A <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Korea%27s_cult_of_personality">cult of personality</a> started developing right away. With no track record of achievement and no sign of outstanding talent, he was hailed as the “great successor to the revolutionary cause,” “outstanding leader of the party, army and people,” “respected comrade identical to Supreme Commander Kim Jong-il,” even as “a great person born of heaven”—an eccentric metaphor for a society nominally based on the teaching of dialectical materialism. The titles followed: within days of his father’s death, Kim Jon-un was declared <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supreme_Commander_of_the_Korean_People%27s_Army">Supreme Commander of the Korean Peoples Army</a>, Chairman of the Central Military Commission, and “supreme leader of the country.” In March of last year, he was appointed first secretary of the Workers’ Party of Korea; three months later, he was awarded the rank of a field marshal.</p>
<p>The plethora of titles does not mean that Kim Jong-un automatically commands the same level of authority and unquestioning obedience enjoyed by his father and grandfather before him. According to a <a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-18563_162-57578037/kim-jong-un-compelled-to-prove-hes-tough-u.s-intelligence">psychological profile put together by U.S. intelligence</a>, Kim Jong-un may feel compelled to prove just how tough he is in order to make up for his inexperience. One of the CIA’s former top experts on North Korea, Joseph DeTrani, regards him as a young man insufficiently well prepared for the position, with limited foreign exposure, who has the urge to prove his toughness to his own military by emulating his grandfather, Kim Il-sung. But the heir is unlikely to start a general war, which he knows he cannot win, and in which China—his often reluctant backer—would likely remain aloof. “It would probably mean his defeat, and his defeat would probably mean the downfall of his regime and, very probably, the end of him as well,” according to <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/northkorea/9971489/What-threat-does-North-Korea-pose-to-South-and-United-States.html">the<em> Telegraph’s</em> David Blair</a>. “Assuming that he’s not suicidal, he is very unlikely to start a general conflagration.” The danger remains, however, that <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/northkorea/">North Korea</a>, having ratcheted up the rhetoric for so long and having issued so many blood-curdling threats, feels that it has to do something.</p>
<p>My hunch is that in the end Kim the Third will do nothing. South Korea refrained from retaliation when one of its naval vessels <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ROKS_Cheonan_sinking">was sunk under mysterious circumstances in disputed waters</a> in March 2010, or when North Korea <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombardment_of_Yeonpyeong">bombarded the South Korean island of Yeonpyeong</a> in November of that year. This time the leaders in Seoul appear determined to respond to any hostile act. While China is urging all sides to tone it down, its warnings are primarily directed at North Korea. Beijing has conveyed a warning to Pyongyang that any incident would subject the North to swift and vigorous retaliation. It is noteworthy that there are no significant troop movements along the 38<sup>th</sup> parallel, and the feverish tone of North Korea’s state media appears to have abated in recent days. The specific warnings that preceded the Yeonpyeong attack are now absent. The regime is well aware of North Korea’s inadequacies in the nuclear and missile technologies. Economically it is a mess. According to the <a href="https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/kn.html">CIA economic assessment</a> issued last month, North Korea’s industrial and power output have receded to pre-1990 levels, while frequent crop failures since the catastrophic 1995 famine have produced chronic food shortages and malnutrition. Its people depend for survival on international food aid deliveries, mainly from China.</p>
<p>Once this latest teacup storm is over, a coherent long-term American response should address the question as to why North Korea feels it needs nuclear weapons in the first place. This is not because Kim Jong-un plans to reunify the peninsula by force—that he cannot do, with or without the bomb—but because Pyongyang regards the United States as a real threat. North Korea is one of the tightest despotisms in existence, but ever since it was designated the eastern pivot of the “Axis of Evil” in President George W. Bush’s 2002 State of the Union Address its leaders have rational grounds to feel threatened. According to President Obama, the nuclear test offered only an illusion of greater security to North Korea. This is incorrect. The possession of nuclear weapons, far from providing an “illusion” of greater security, is the only reliable insurance policy to those states that Washington may deem fit for regime change. Had Serbia had the bomb in 1999 or Iraq in 2003, they would not have been subjected to illegal American attacks on patently spurious grounds.</p>
<p>Some imagination is needed in Washington, including a rethink of the old orthodoxy that nuclear proliferation is inherently dangerous. It is not. Since 1945, there have been many wars, but no catastrophic ones on par with 1914-1918 or 1939-1945. This long peace—lasting for close to seven decades thus far—is due almost entirely to the existence of nuclear weapons and to their possession by an expanding circle of powers. Contrary to the will of the United States—whose leaders do not want other countries to possess what America has possessed, and used, since 1945—nuclear proliferation has been a major factor in the preservation of peace. The “Balance of Terror” is a grim term which denotes a comforting reality, and its logic applies to the lesser powers, such as India and Pakistan, which went to war three times after the Partition—in 1947, 1965, and 1971—but not since then. On previous form, the violence in Kashmir in March 2008 and the Pakistani-linked terrorist attacks in Bombay in November of that year would have reignited the conflict—but they did not. The possession of nuclear weapons by both adversaries has been a major war-inhibiting factor for over four decades, and it will likely remain so for many years to come.</p>
<p>What is valid for the Subcontinent should apply to the North Korean peninsula. Sanctions or no sanctions, Pyongyang will not give up its bomb. For the sake of regional peace and stability, South Korea should acquire one as well—and there is no reason for Japan not to follow suit. Back in the 1970’s, the Ford Administration induced South Korea to abandon its nuclear weapons program in return for not withdrawing American soldiers. Now is the time to reverse the sequence. Washington should grant a free nuclear hand to Seoul in return for the mutually agreed U.S. troop withdrawal. The latest crisis strengthens the case for the long-overdue withdrawal of the remaining 28,000 American troops from the Korean peninsula. It is high time to let the countries directly affected by Pyongyang’s actions—South Korea, Japan, China, and Russia—deal with North Korea themselves, to the best of their abilities.</p>
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		<title>The EU’s Iffy Eastern Partners</title>
		<link>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/03/22/the-eu%e2%80%99s-iffy-eastern-partners/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/03/22/the-eu%e2%80%99s-iffy-eastern-partners/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Mar 2013 18:07:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Srdja Trifkovic</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News & Views]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Srdja Trifkovic]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/?p=8702</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[One variant of a well-known law of bureaucracy says that the amount of time spent discussing a budgetary decision is inversely proportional to the magnitude of the budget in question. Judging by what I witnessed on March 20 at the European Parliament, the Brussels machine functions entirely in accordance with this adage.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One variant of a well-known law of bureaucracy says that the amount of time spent discussing a budgetary decision is inversely proportional to the magnitude of the budget in question. Judging by what I witnessed on March 20 at the European Parliament—at the Committee on Budgets’ hearing on the “Financing of the Eastern Partnership”—the Brussels machine functions entirely in accordance with this adage.</p>
<p><span id="more-8702"></span>The money involved is substantial: 2.8 billion euros ($3.6 billion) over 5 years. The project’s stated purpose is to promote “shared values”—democracy, human rights and the rule of law—in six former Soviet states deemed to be of “strategic importance” to the European Union: <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Armenia">Armenia</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Azerbaijan">Azerbaijan</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belarus">Belarus</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_%28country%29">Georgia</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moldova">Moldova</a>, and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukraine">Ukraine</a>. Promoting the principles of market economy, sustainable development, civic society and “good governance” is also among the objectives.</p>
<p>In their opening remarks, the officials involved in running the Eastern Partnership Program were self-congratulatory about its alleged achievements. That much was to be expected: lots of sinecures, cushy jobs and expense-padded missions can be extracted from a few billion. Nevertheless, the entire construct’s numerous problems and shortcomings could not be concealed:</p>
<ul>
<li>Conceptually, there is no clear consensus within the EU on what exactly it is trying to promote in its eastern neighborhood under the bombastic slogans of “shared values, collective norms and joint ownership.” What does it all <em>mean</em>, if anything, in the real world?</li>
<li>Empirically, the program has followed, and still follows, a “top-down” approach of deciding in Brussels what are the goals, then telling the eastern “partners” what they need to do, and finally rewarding them accordingly—rather than developing genuine partnerships based on those countries’ real needs and attainable objectives.</li>
<li>Managerially, in order for the funds allocated to the “Partnership” to be optimally utilized, they would require elaborate apparatuses of deployment, supervision and evaluation. On the basis of the presentations last Wednesday, it is clear that the EU has neither the institutional mechanisms nor the supervisory bodies capable of insuring that this is the case.</li>
<li>Substantially, the elephant in the room was the issue of EU enlargement—or, rather, the extreme unlikelihood of further enlargement after Croatia’s accession next July. Without the realistic prospect of an eventual path to full membership, the EU lacks meaningful leverage over the political elites in the six eastern countries to make them change their ways.</li>
</ul>
<p>Far from being addressed, these problems are bypassed by the tendency of the EU bureaucracy to close its eyes to the reality on the ground in the countries concerned—or, worse, still, to misrepresent that reality for reasons of institutional self-preservations. The result, to put it succinctly, is that billions of European taxpayers’ cash are poured into a bottomless pit of post-Soviet corruption, graft, and pork-barrel politics. “We pretend to work, and they pretend to pay us,” went the old Soviet joke. Its modern-day “Eastern” equivalent should be “We pretend to reform, and they pretend that we are doing a good job.” Instead of being properly perceived as part of the problem, terminally corrupt political “elites” are treated as partners in finding solutions.</p>
<p>Moldova is the prime example. On per-capita basis, this backwater squeezed between Romania and Ukraine—the poorest country in Europe—has received far more money than the other five “partners,” and the EU pretends that its objectives are being met. While I was at the European Parliament, the European Commission <a href="http://www.europolitics.info/external-policies/report-paints-mixed-picture-of-union-s-eastern-partners-art349572-44.html">presented its own regional report on the implementation of the Eastern Partnership</a>. It asserted that “significant progress was made in the implementation of the Eastern Partnership” and singled out Moldova for “showing significant progress,” “stepping up efforts to implement judicial and law enforcement reform,” and “continuing to implement reforms in the areas of social assistance, health and education, energy, competition, state aid and regulatory approximation to the EU <em>acquis.</em>” Moldova’s government was asked to “continue to vigorously advance reforms in the justice and law enforcement systems” as well as intensify the fight against corruption.</p>
<p>This is surreal, on par with the Soviet Communist Party congresses exalting the great and glorious achievements of socialism in the years of terminal decline under Brezhnev. In reality, Moldova is one of the most corrupt countries in Europe, according to independent analysts, who also claim that the majority of EU assistance is being misused by local officials. The Warsaw-based EaP Institute warns that the EU is devoting considerable sums to Moldova for very little return in terms of progress in the country's reform process: “It begs the question: Why is the EU throwing money like this at a black hole of corruption, when there is so much to do in the EU's own member states?”</p>
<p>It does, indeed. Moldova has already received some €482m from the EU Eastern Partnership, which is about 110 euros ($145) for every man, woman and child in the dirt-poor country—the equivalent of an average two-weekly wage. Nobody knows for certain where it went, but we have a fair idea. Recent opinion polls say that the majority of citizens of Moldova consider their current coalition government as “totally corrupt.” According to the Transparency International 2012 report, Moldova is among the most corrupt places in Europe, with Kosovo, Albania and Bosnia topping the list. But the EU says it is doing well, because an unhealthy symbiotic relationship has been developed between the unelected and mostly unaccountable bureaucrats managing enormous funds earmarked for nebulous purposes and their foreign “clients” who gloat at the mouth-watering prospect of placing a major portion of those funds into their own pockets.</p>
<p>After last Wednesday’s introductory presentations, several experts and members of European Parliament (MEPs) expressed misgivings about the Eastern Partnership policy. Olaf Osica, director of the centre for eastern studies in Warsaw, declared that “in four years the policy had failed to produce any tangible political or social results.” A prominent Polish MEP and former senior government minister, Jacek Saryusz-Wolski, said the entire edifice should be “completely revised”:</p>
<blockquote><p>There are a whole multitude of projects which, as we have heard at the hearing, no one seems able to follow or understand… What we are doing is creating the illusion that the EU is helping to transform these eastern European countries when, in fact, the naked truth is that the EU is losing its eastern neighbors. What is actually needed is for the EU—and that means both the Commission and Parliament—to totally revise and revisit its Eastern Partnership policy.</p></blockquote>
<p>All this was in stark contrast to the earlier assurances by senior officials that the current picture was “confused,” but the EU was nevertheless “doing quite well” in addressing concerns about the transparency and accountability of its funding for the six countries (Marcus Cornaro); or that the EU was determined to push ahead with closer cooperation with those countries that have “demonstrated a commitment to the reform process” (Richard Tibbels).</p>
<p>The lenient attitude of EU officials regarding the patchy record of their “Eastern partners” on corruption, democratisation, and the rule of law is in stark contrast with the ever-moving goal posts for a half-dozen aspiring EU members in the Western Balkans. None of them will join the EU for a decade at least, of course, and a realistic reassessment of their political and economic policies is long overdue. The EU is in a state of chronic institutional and financial crisis, and trying to get on board at this point is equal to betting on Romney last November 5. Alternatives do exist, but they call for the cold-blooded diversification of long-term strategies. Belgrade and Kiev in particular should take note.</p>
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		<title>The Sick Man on the Senne</title>
		<link>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/03/19/the-sick-man-on-the-senne/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/03/19/the-sick-man-on-the-senne/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Mar 2013 15:13:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Srdja Trifkovic</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News & Views]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Srdja Trifkovic]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/?p=8670</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The European Union today is like the “Socialist Community” under Leonid Brezhnev in his dotage: totalitarian yet inefficient, glorified by its self-serving nomenklatura yet unloved by its subjects, devoid of any unifying ideology beyond the worn-out phrases and platitudes parroted by the absurd men and repulsive women in dull suits.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Contrary to popular belief, <a href="http://www.brussels.be/artdet.cfm?id=4000">Brussels</a> is not the only major European capital which is away from the seacoast as well as devoid of a river. The <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zenne">Senne</a> is a far cry from the similar-sounding <a href="http://www.parisdigest.com/photos/seine_cruise_ile_de_la_cite.jpg">Seine</a> further south, however: it is a nasty, brutish, <a href="http://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Senne_%28rivi%C3%A8re%29">mercifully short</a> waterway. By the mid-1800’s it had become so putrid and unstable that the city elders decided <a href="http://www.coordinationsenne.be/downloads/SenneBruxelles-images/HR15_voutement-rueEveque-FR.jpg">to cover it</a>—the <a href="http://www.badeaux.be/Publications/Pub1/Chapitre2/Chapitre2.html">massive project</a> was known as the <em>voûtement de la Senne—</em>and to build boulevards and <a href="http://www.reflexcity.net/browse/displaydoc.php?d=6717c8c98af8e9c444b01aedef14ea1a">public edifices</a> on top. The city did not gain much in charm, but its denizens’ life expectancy was instantly improved. (Whether living a long life in Belgium’s capital is a blessing or a curse is a separate issue.)</p>
<p>There is an equally nasty but infinitely more brutish monstrosity in today’s Brussels that cannot be dealt with so neatly. The European Union today is like the “Socialist Community” under Leonid Brezhnev in his dotage: totalitarian yet inefficient, glorified by its self-serving <em>nomenklatura</em> yet unloved by its subjects, devoid of any unifying ideology beyond the worn-out phrases and platitudes parroted by the absurd men and repulsive women in dull suits.</p>
<p>For the reality of this “United Europe,” as it is today, let us be dryly empirical for a moment and look at a few EU-related news items <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2013/mar/14/eurozone-crisis-live-protestors-eu-summit">reported on one day—Thursday, March 14, 2013</a>:</p>
<ul>
<li>EU leaders gathered in Brussels for a two-day summit in an attempt to negotiate the dilemma between austerity and growth. Thousands of protestors from all over the 27 member nations converged outside the EU HQ.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Eurozone employment dropped by 0.3% in the fourth quarter of 2012 compared with the third, despite the Christmas shopping season. Experts say the unemployment rate will remain above 11% until early 2018.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi says that “generally unsatisfactory economic developments in Europe” will improve in the course of 2013, but only if governments implement austerity measures and structural reforms. His fellow-Eurocrat, EU-appointed Italian prime minister Mario Monti, nevertheless says he will have to ask his EU partners to grant Italy more “flexibility” in its budget deficit reduction targets.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>The troika of international lenders—the EU, the ECB, and the IMF—left Greece without resolving a dispute with the government in Athens over further budgetary cuts. In the meantime, Greek shipyard workers protested outside the development ministry and hundreds of Greek students blocked up the education ministry to protest cuts resulting from EU-imposed austerity measures. <strong>Unemployment in Greece is 26%, up from 24.8% in the third quarter of 2012. </strong>Among under-24’s it is 57.8%. T<strong>he percentage of unemployed Greeks who have been looking for a job for more than one year is 65.3%.</strong></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>In Spain, eviction proceedings against defaulters have soared since 2007 to 450,000. The number of repossessions ending in evictions increased by 135% in 2012 from the year before, indicating worsening trends. Spanish retail sales dropped 10.2% in the year to January, continuing the decline of the past 31 months.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Cyprus bailout talks are crucial to next stage of crisis, but deep divisions remain over how to manage a bailout. Without a cut in the €17bn cost, Cypriot sovereign debt will reach 145% of GDP, by far the highest in the eurozone except for Greece.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>President François Hollande has said that France won’t be able to cut the public deficit to the EU limit of 3% of GDP this year; it was more likely to reach 3.7%. Amazingly, German finance minister Wolfgang Schäuble subsequently<em> </em>corrected Hollande, saying not that he “hoped,” or “expected,” but that he was “sure that France would, like us, respect the rules” on the public deficit. (Perhaps Herr Schäuble knows a thing or two about France’s future finance policy that Monsieur le Président de la République does not!)</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Germany, meanwhile, smugly claims that its finances are the model for all humanity. Its 2014 budget plans, revealed on March 13, show the structural deficit dropping to zero. “With all modesty [sic!], this is a result of historic proportions,” economy minister Philipp Rösler <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/13/us-germany-budget-idUSBRE92C0TI20130313">declared on that occasion</a>. “Germany is in the vanguard in Europe. Our success with a policy of growth-oriented consolidation is the envy of the world.” <em>Ach</em>, modesty—the quintessential German weakness…</li>
</ul>
<p>This is but a quick selection on a randomly selected day—the day of this writing. The tenor and substance have not changed much in recent months and years; and things will likely change for worse—OK, with that one <em>enviable</em> exception, perhaps—in the months and years ahead.</p>
<p>Unsurprisingly, anti-EU feeling is escalating all over the continent. On March 1, British Prime Minister David Cameron’s Conservative Party <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/01/us-britain-politics-eastleigh-idUSBRE9200VL20130301">was beaten into third place</a> in the Eastleigh by-election, in southern England, by a party that wants Britain to leave the EU. The UK Independence Party (UKIP) supporters were once described by Cameron as “fruitcakes, loonies and closet racists”—but they accounted for 28 percent of the vote in the traditionally Tory constituency. UKIP leader Nigel Farage declared the vote “a protest against an entire political class.” Under pressure from UKIP, Cameron had earlier promised to hold a referendum on Britain’s membership of the EU by the end of 2017 if he wins the next election, but many British Euro-skeptics see this as a mere ploy to deflect the threat from UKIP.</p>
<p>Marine Le Pen, who finished third in the French presidential election, also demands a referendum on France’s membership. On Mach 3 she declared that the FN wants France to leave the EU unless four reforms are agreed: the return to the franc; the abolition of the Schengen single-borderarea; the primacy of France’s economic interests over “Europe’s”; and the primacy of national law over EU law. Otherwise, Le Pen has promised to transform the European elections a year from now into a referendum for or against Europe. Having polled 18% of the vote in the presidential election last year, Mlle Le Pen has a solid base to build upon.</p>
<p>In Italy, two anti-austerity, anti-euro parties—led by Silvio Berlusconi and Beppe Grillo—captured over half the vote and paralyzed the political system. Berlusconi returned from the dead to take just over 29% of the vote, less than one half of one percentage point behind the first-placed Center-Left. Newcomer Grillo’s <em>Movimento 5 Stelle</em> (M5S, Five Star Movement), entirely created via the web outside the traditional party system, took just over 25% of the vote for the Chamber of Deputies—and demolished Italy’s balance of political forces. Pro-EU Monti’s coalition came fourth with a paltry ten percent.</p>
<p>Even in Germany, the apparent hegemon, there is little popular enthusiasm for the Euro-project. The recently-founded <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alternative_for_Germany">Alternative for Germany</a> (AfD) is not even a political party yet, but expects to be a <a href="http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/new-party-in-germany-goes-after-euro-skeptic-voters-a-887744.html">serious player</a> come federal elections on September 22. It demands dissolution of the “coercive euro association,” an orderly end of the monetary union, and a referendum to decide if “the Basic Law, the best constitution that Germany ever had,” was violated to allow the transfer of sovereignty to the EU. <a href="http://www.wiso.uni-hamburg.de/professuren/wachstum-und-konjunktur/team/prof-dr-bernd-lucke">Dr. Bernd Lucke</a>—the AfD co-founder, economics professor and a life-long CDU supporter until he turned against Merkel in 2011 over her bailout policies—is adamant that Germany “has a government that has <a href="http://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/alternative-fuer-deutschland-euroskeptische-partei-haelt-erste-versammlung-ab-12111623.html">failed to comply with the law</a>… and has blatantly broken the word that it had given to the German people.” With 14,000 paid members thus far, the AfD is respectable and distinctly upper-middle-class, with a higher concentration of PhDs than any party. Among its early supporters is <a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/6cf3e4f0-cf40-11e0-b6d4-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2NY3EUnJa">Hans-Olaf Henkel</a>, ex-president of the Federation of German Industry representing 100,000 businesses. Let it be added that as of now 26% of Germans say they would consider voting for a party committed to leaving the monetary union.</p>
<p>It will be a tough fight. Political, media and cultural elites in the leading countries of the Union are overwhelmingly pro-EU, pro-euro, pro-immigration, and vehemently opposed to any sign of national or ethno-linguistic coherence. If those elites have their way, there will be many more “Europeans” by the end of this century than today—some atheist, but mostly Muslim; some black, but mostly brown—but there will be precious few great-grandchildren of Europeans. The native populations are aborting and birth-controlling themselves into minorities. If Euro-elites have their way, disused churches will be converted into teeming mosques. Just over a decade ago, they refused to acknowledge Christian heritage as an element of European identity—but today they insist Islam is essential to that identity. Brussels rejects the notion that Europeans are defined by blood ties, collective memories, emotional bonds, culture, and kinship. Instead, “Europe” marches along the path of “civilization, progress and prosperity, for the good of all its inhabitants, including the weakest and most deprived… to deepen the democratic and transparent nature of its public life, and to strive for peace, justice and solidarity throughout the world…”</p>
<p>This is the mindset of 1792 and 1917 all over again. Its derivative expressions are foreseeable. The EU relentlessly encourages abortion, sexual deviancy, and population replacement as “basic human rights.” Its political process means the manufacture of ideologically correct outcomes as defined by the unelected Brussels machine, before the quasi-democratic machine of the European Parliament and the member countries’ institutions are set in motion. The preamble of the EU Charter on Human Rights claims to be “based on the principles of democracy and the rule of law” (implying the two were not in conflict), and concludes that “Enjoyment of these rights entails responsibilities and duties with regard to other persons, to the human community and to future generations.” Those rights are naturally demarcated by those who reserve the right to decide what exactly one’s obligations to “the human community” and “future generation” happen to be.</p>
<p>The true meaning of “the rule of law” is defined by the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Arrest_Warrant">European Arrest Warrant</a>, a hideous device created by the <a href="http://europa.eu/lisbon_treaty/full_text/index_en.htm">Lisbon Treaty</a>, under which any citizen of a member country—or even a visitor from outside the Union—is liable to arrest and extradition at the behest of a judge in any other EU member country, under one of 32 categories of “crime.” Those offenses include murder, terrorism, as well as “racism and xenophobia.” The EU thus came to equate beliefs, opinions and sentiments with the worst of actual crimes, in the best tradition of Soviet and Nazi jurisprudence.</p>
<p>The workings of the machine are mainly in the hands of the <a href="http://ec.europa.eu/index_en.htm">European Commission</a> (EC), whose members are appointed by the 27 prime ministers who make up the Council. The EC has the authority to create and impose policies, but it cannot be removed or held accountable by any electorate. Its duty is to uphold the interests of the Union <em>as such</em>: its members swear that they will discard any vestige of loyalty to any nation. The only EU institution that has any claim to democratic credentials is the <a href="http://www.europarl.europa.eu/portal/en">European Parliament</a>, the least powerful of the three key bodies.</p>
<p>How and why did the monstrosity get this way? Gradually at first, with a great deal of patience and cunning exercised by its visionary creators. In 1945 Western Europe was in ruins, a shadow of what it had been only four decades previously. The old, pre-1914 balance-of-power system had collapsed, and the interwar mechanisms of collective security were neither collective nor secure. The beginnings were <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-19194812">seemingly pragmatic</a>: the 1951 European Coal and Steel Community—as engineered by <a href="http://europa.eu/about-eu/eu-history/founding-fathers/pdf/robert_schuman_en.pdf">Robert Schuman</a>—seemed like a sound idea, a plus-sum-game if there ever was one. But the upholders of Euro-federalism had a bigger fish to fry. From the outset they held that a sense of common history had to be developed, as well as a sense of an existing and growing common identity, to complement those early economic integration mechanisms. As Jean Monnet, the father of the project (and, significantly, a man never elected to a public office), admitted six decades ago, “Europe has never existed; one has genuinely to create Europe.”</p>
<p>Monnet and his disciples had a long way to go. The initial ideological basis for the project was <a href="http://www.ina.fr/video/I00012372">de Gaulle’s distinctly non-federalist vision</a> of <em>l’Europe des patries</em>. A concert of nation-states, brought together by a common interest, would seek the withering away of their old hostilities—with France and Germany leading the way—but all of them would retain their substance and identity regardless of the institutional arrangement. This was the “Europe” of the Six, a logical heir to the pragmatic Coal and Steel Community. Euro-integralists—notably Belgium’s prime minister Paul-Henri Spaak and Monnet himself—nevertheless kept their powder dry for a more opportune moment when the European Economic Community might be steered in the direction of a political union. De Gaulle and his immediate successor, Georges Pompidou, did not want that; and until the early 1970’s the institutional framework remained essentially the same.</p>
<p>Then came the notion of Europe’s <em>unity in diversity</em>, the reverse of the Europe of the Fatherlands. (In 2000 <em>In varietate concordia</em> was <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motto_of_the_European_Union">adopted as the official motto of the European Union</a>.) The new concept coincided with the European Community’s expansion to the Nine, then to the Twelve. Its proponents claimed that Europe was not only a mosaic of cultures but an organic whole. The implication that this whole required a single source of decision-making authority gave rise to the method of European integration Monnet had advocated from the outset: a series of gradual yet regular transfers of small slices of national sovereignty—in ostensibly technical areas—from national capitals to Brussels. The Community <em>apparat</em> made a quantum leap toward this goal with the <a href="http://europa.eu/legislation_summaries/institutional_affairs/treaties/treaties_singleact_en.htm">Single European Act</a> (SEA, July 1987). It was a <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Single_European_Act">thorough revision</a> of the 1957 Treaty of Rome, but in the direction of a super-authority rather than a superstate.</p>
<p>The distinction is essential. The standard Eurosceptic accusation that the Brussels machine is plotting the creation of a single federal state is incorrect. The people who run the Brussels machine have never wanted the end result to be a superstate modeled after the United States. In the context of pan-European federal statehood they would be held more accountable and would come under far greater public scrutiny than if they remained faceless and continued to operate from the corridors of the <a href="http://www.fredrikhaglund.eu/images/series_two/Barleymont-1---webb.jpg">monstrous EU HQ at Barleymont</a>. The strategy was for the states to be drained gradually of statehood and their power transferred to Brussels, but without the unwelcome trappings and limitations of statehood itself. Its guiding spirit was then-Commission President <a href="http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/156721/Jacques-Delors">Jacques Delors</a>, a French Socialist. From the SEA on, the EU became—in the words of British MEP Roger Helmer—“a slow-motion coup d’etat.” In addition to the creation of the eurozone 12 years ago, which has grown to 17 member-states since, the Schengen Agreement (1990), the Maastricht Treaty (1992), the Amsterdam Treaty (1998), the Treaty of Nice (2000), and the Treaty of Lisbon (2009) have transferred vast powers from national capitals to Brussels.</p>
<p>The era of Delors coincided with the rise of the Generation of 1968 to the positions of power. The activists had cut their hair, put on suits and ties, and discovered that it was more fruitful and comfortable to take the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antonio_Gramsci#Imprisonment_and_death">Gramscian long road</a> through the institutions than to blow them up. The veterans of the hard-left era, like <a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-F0RHbaIVSVs/UMcPSe4fXvI/AAAAAAAAWMg/iMU-riVPUvs/s1600/ashton.jpg">Catherine Ashton</a> and <a href="http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/files/2012/06/Jose-Manuel-Barroso-460x288.jpg">Jose Manuel Barroso</a>, still subscribe to the concept of permanent revolution, but it is wrapped into the open-ended evolution of the EU that they now control. The result is a European Union in a state of indeterminacy and permanent flux, a postmodern edifice within which the meaning of sovereignty is relativized and the separation of foreign and domestic policies blurred to the point of interchangeability. What all of these Euro-enthusiasts share—as <a href="http://www.idc-europe.org/en/The-European-Union:-a-Marxist-Utopia">John Laughland has noted</a>—is a love of indeterminacy and permanent change, and a hostility to what they regard as inadequate, old-fashioned, and simplistic certainties of classical sovereign statehood.</p>
<p>Far from being the “capital of Europe,” Brussels is the regional HQ of the post-Christian anti-Europe, just as Washington DC has morphed into the global HQ of the same project. The goals of the project managers are the same because their degenerate minds are the same. They cannot be shamed into changing their ways through arguments or defeated through the ballot box any more than a malignant cancer can be arrested with aspirin. A stronger medicine is needed.</p>
<p>To paraphrase a bad man from a time much better than our own, <em>écrasez l'infâme!</em></p>
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		<title>Pope Francis</title>
		<link>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/03/13/pope-francis/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2013/03/13/pope-francis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Mar 2013 23:09:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Srdja Trifkovic</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News & Views]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Srdja Trifkovic]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Many of us non-RC traditionalist all over the world had awaited the news from Rome with some trepidation. In the end it turned out to be rather good.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Many of us non-RC traditionalist all over the world had awaited the news from Rome with some trepidation. In the end it turned out to be rather good. Pope Francis, the first non-European Bishop of Rome since Gregory III (d. 741), is universally described as “modest” and “moderate”—which is much preferred to the dreaded “bold” or “courageous,” in the sense that those words are used by the global media.</p>
<p><span id="more-8659"></span>“He lives like a monk in a small apartment, travels by bus, and detests all vanity,” Metropolitan Amfilohije of Montenegro told me when he heard the news. His Grace has visited Buenos Aires repeatedly in recent years as the Orthodox Diocesan Administrator, but he has not met Cardinal Jorge Bergoglio, who was mostly in Rome on those occasions. “I’ve heard from many local people, however, both lay and clergy, that he radiates a burning faith,” says the Metropolitan and adds that his simplicity and compassion for the poor go hand in hand with doctrinal firmness.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/wp-content/uploads/pope-francis.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-8660" title="pope-francis" src="http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/wp-content/uploads/pope-francis.jpg" alt="" width="288" height="290" /></a>Two examples illustrate this dichotomy. When Pope John Paul II appointed him a cardinal in 2001, Bergoglio appealed to affluent Argentines not to fly to Rome to celebrate his investiture but instead to donate to charity the money they would have spent on air fare. In 2010 he furiously opposed Argentina’s legalization of same-sex “marriages,” arguing that children need to have the right to be raised and educated by a father and a mother. In a letter to the faithful he spoke strongly: “Let us not be naïve, we are not talking about a simple political battle; it is a destructive pretension against the plan of God. We are not talking about a mere bill, but rather a machination of the Father of Lies that seeks to confuse and deceive the children of God.” Argentine president <a title="Cristina Fernández de Kirchner" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cristina_Fern%C3%A1ndez_de_Kirchner">Cristina Fernández de Kirchner</a> reacted by saying that his tone was reminiscent of “medieval times and the Inquisition.”</p>
<p>After an unprecedented 35 years of non-Italian pontificates, many observers had expected the Italian contingent in the College of Cardinals to insist on one of their own. Jorge Bergoglio is as close to being an Italian, however, as is possible for a <em>straniero</em>. He was born in Argentina in 1936 to first-generation Italian immigrants, speaks Italian without an accent, and has a deep grounding in Italian culture, arts and literature. At 76, Pope Francis is significantly older than expected by laity or predicted by punditry. His election is a compromise which will keep most traditionalists contented, if not exactly enthused, while giving the reformist zealots another decade or so to select a strong, charismatic candidate for their long-planned onslaught. Pope Benedict’s sudden decision has caught them off-guard and unprepared.</p>
<p>Among the congratulatory messages sent to Francis, the one from France’s President Francois Hollande was remarkable for its cold, Christophobic rudeness. Hollande said that France, “faithful to its universal principles of liberty, equality and fraternity,” would continue its “dialogue” with the Holy See for “peace, justice, solidarity and human dignity.” That country used to be Christian, once. Archbishop of Canterbury Justin Welby, on the other hand, made an innocent mistake when stating that the new pope’s “choice of the name Francis suggests that he wants to call us all back to the transformation that St Francis knew and brought to the whole of Europe.” As a Jesuit—the first ever to become pope—Bergoglio was guided in his choice of the name by the co-founder of the Society of Jesus, St. Francis Xavier.</p>
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